TY - BOOK TI - Spatial Analysis Techniques Using MyGeoffice®: AU - Negreiros, João Garrott Marques T2 - Advances in Geospatial Technologies A2 - Dey, Nilanjan DA - 2018/// PY - 2018 DP - DOI.org (Crossref) PB - IGI Global SN - 978-1-5225-3270-5 978-1-5225-3271-2 ST - Spatial Analysis Techniques Using MyGeoffice® UR - http://services.igi-global.com/resolvedoi/resolve.aspx?doi=10.4018/978-1-5225-3270-5 Y2 - 2021/03/10/02:28:01 ER - TY - JOUR TI - COVID-19: Psychological and Psychosocial Impact, Fear, and Passion AU - Dey, Nilanjan AU - Mishra, Rishabh AU - Fong, Simon James AU - Santosh, K. C. AU - Tan, Stanna AU - Crespo, Rubén González T2 - Digital Government: Research and Practice DA - 2021/01/31/ PY - 2021 DO - 10.1145/3428088 DP - DOI.org (Crossref) VL - 2 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 4 J2 - Digit. Gov.: Res. Pract. LA - en SN - 2691-199X, 2639-0175 ST - COVID-19 UR - https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3428088 Y2 - 2023/04/11/13:48:11 ER - TY - CHAP TI - The Application of Supervised and Unsupervised Computational Predictive Models to Simulate the COVID19 Pandemic AU - Fong, Simon James AU - Marques, João Alexandre Lobo AU - Li, Gloria AU - Dey, Nilanjan AU - Crespo, Rubén González AU - Herrera-Viedma, Enrique AU - Gois, Francisco Nauber Bernardo AU - Neto, José Xavier T2 - Epidemic Analytics for Decision Supports in COVID19 Crisis A2 - Marques, Joao Alexandre Lobo A2 - Fong, Simon James AB - The application of different tools for predicting COVID19 cases spreading has been widely considered during the pandemic. Comparing different approaches is essential to analyze performance and the practical support they can provide for the current pandemic management. This work proposes using the susceptible-exposed-asymptomatic but infectious-symptomatic and infectious-recovered-deceased (SEAIRD) model for different learning models. The first analysis considers an unsupervised prediction, based directly on the epidemiologic compartmental model. After that, two supervised learning models are considered integrating computational intelligence techniques and control engineering: the fuzzy-PID and the wavelet-ANN-PID models. The purpose is to compare different predictor strategies to validate a viable predictive control system for the COVID19 relevant epidemiologic time series. For each model, after setting the initial conditions for each parameter, the prediction performance is calculated based on the presented data. The use of PID controllers is justified to avoid divergence in the system when the learning process is conducted. The wavelet neural network solution is considered here because of its rapid convergence rate. The proposed solutions are dynamic and can be adjusted and corrected in real time, according to the output error. The results are presented in each subsection of the chapter. CY - Cham DA - 2022/// PY - 2022 DP - Springer Link SP - 103 EP - 139 LA - en PB - Springer International Publishing SN - 978-3-030-95281-5 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-95281-5_5 Y2 - 2022/09/21/02:33:30 KW - ANN predictor KW - COVID19 KW - Epidemiology KW - Fuzzy predictor KW - PID control KW - SEAIRD ER - TY - CHAP TI - Probabilistic Forecasting Model for the COVID-19 Pandemic Based on the Composite Monte Carlo Model Integrated with Deep Learning and Fuzzy System AU - Fong, Simon James AU - Marques, João Alexandre Lobo AU - Li, Gloria AU - Dey, Nilanjan AU - Crespo, Rubén González AU - Herrera-Viedma, Enrique AU - Gois, Francisco Nauber Bernardo AU - Neto, José Xavier T2 - Epidemic Analytics for Decision Supports in COVID19 Crisis A2 - Marques, Joao Alexandre Lobo A2 - Fong, Simon James AB - There are several techniques to support simulation of time series behavior. In this chapter, the approach will be based on the Composite Monte Carlo (CMC) simulation method. This method is able to model future outcomes of time series under analysis from the available data. The establishment of multiple correlations and causality between the data allows modeling the variables and probabilistic distributions and subsequently obtaining also probabilistic results for time series forecasting. To improve the predictor efficiency, computational intelligence techniques are proposed, including a fuzzy inference system and an Artificial Neural Network architecture. This type of model is suitable to be considered not only for the disease monitoring and compartmental classes, but also for managerial data such as clinical resources, medical and health team allocation, and bed management, which are data related to complex decision-making challenges. CY - Cham DA - 2022/// PY - 2022 DP - Springer Link SP - 83 EP - 102 LA - en PB - Springer International Publishing SN - 978-3-030-95281-5 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-95281-5_4 Y2 - 2022/09/21/02:35:35 KW - COVID-19 KW - Composite Monte Carlo simulation KW - Healthcare decision-making systems KW - Prediction ER -